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COO

DIP-BUY

The Cooper Companies, Inc.

Strong bounce probability (oversold mean-reversion)

Gap Down
-18.5%
HealthcareEPS Sep 9, 2026

Price Chart

Range
COO · DailyEMA 12EMA 26EMA 50EMA 200

Gap-Down Information

Prev Close
$63.48
Open
$51.76
Gap %
-18.5%
Close
$53.76
Day High
$53.96
Day Low
$51.01
Volume
2.91M
Vol vs 50d Avg
1.4x

Score Analysis

Model 1: De-Rat Score (HIGH = solid selloff = avoid)

Composite60/ 100
Gap Quality (30%)47
Volume Quality (25%)94
Earnings Quality (25%)46
Technical Context (20%)55

Model 2: Bounce Probability (HIGH = dip-buy)

P(bounce)71%20d horizon
Tier:HIGH
Expected 20d Return+6.0%
Trained on 563 gap-downs across 142 tickers (2y backtest). Distance from SMA50 (mean reversion) is the strongest predictor; wide gap-day range = capitulation washout.
  • Deeply below SMA50 (-12%): oversold mean-reversion — 77-82% historical bounce rate
  • Volume 1.4× avg: real institutional participation (68-72% bounce)
  • Large 18% gap: uncertainty high, bounce odds below base

Verdict & Playbook

DIP-BUYStrong bounce probability (oversold mean-reversion)
Dip-Buy Entry Ref
$53.76
Stop (gap-day low)
$51.01
vs SMA 200
Below
SMA 50
$72.06
SMA 200
$73.23
EMA 10
$66.47

Analysis

COO gapped down 18.5% (1.36× average volume). De-Rat Score: 60/100 — moderate de-rating. P(bounce): 71% [HIGH] — expected +6% over 20 trading days. Key signals: Deeply below SMA50 (-12%): oversold mean-reversion — 77-82% historical bounce rate; Volume 1.4× avg: real institutional participation (68-72% bounce); Large 18% gap: uncertainty high, bounce odds below base. EPS surprise of 3.0% (beat).

Analyzed by derat-v1+bounce-v1 · Sep 10, 2026

Outcome Tracking

1d Return
+0.3%
5d Return
+0.0%
20d Return
—

Post-Gap Validation — 5-Day Follow-Through

⚠️ Uncertain
Confidence52%
Days Tracked5/5
Reversal Score49.0
Selloff Score45.0
Recovery
9%
Vol Decay
11%
Further Downside
-1.8%
Max Recovery
+3.5%
Peak Close
Day 4

Day-by-Day Price Action

DayCloseHighLowVolume
Day 1$53.91$55.66$53.156.44M
Day 2$54.22$54.99$53.605.41M
Day 3$53.27$54.80$52.974.42M
Day 4$54.61$55.12$53.925.31M
Day 5$53.78$54.82$52.785.71M

Signal Breakdown

  • Recovery8.7% recovered
    Only 9% of the down-gap recovered — selloff persists
    selloff
  • Volume11% decay
    Volume sustained — only 11% decline suggests continued distribution
    selloff
  • Price TrajectoryPeak close: Day 4
    Higher lows with recovery into late week — dip-buyers stepping in
    reversal
  • Further Downside1.8%
    Minimal further downside (1.8%) — selling exhausted
    reversal
  • Fundamental QualityEPS surprise 3.0%
    Positive earnings signal despite the gap-down — reaction may be oversold
    reversal