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GRRR
DIP-BUYGorilla Technology Group Inc.
Weak/overshoot de-rating + elevated bounce probability
Gap Down
-11.9%
TechnologyEPS Aug 24, 2026
Price Chart
Range
GRRR · DailyEMA 12EMA 26EMA 50EMA 200
Gap-Down Information
Prev Close
$15.83
Open
$13.94
Gap %
-11.9%
Close
$13.77
Day High
$14.68
Day Low
$13.62
Volume
502.6K
Vol vs 50d Avg
0.4x
Score Analysis
Model 1: De-Rat Score (HIGH = solid selloff = avoid)
Composite53/ 100
Gap Quality (30%)72
Volume Quality (25%)25
Earnings Quality (25%)60
Technical Context (20%)50
Model 2: Bounce Probability (HIGH = dip-buy)
P(bounce)60%20d horizon
Tier:HIGH
Expected 20d Return+4.0%
Trained on 563 gap-downs across 142 tickers (2y backtest). Distance from SMA50 (mean reversion) is the strongest predictor; wide gap-day range = capitulation washout.
- Large 12% gap: uncertainty high, bounce odds below base
Verdict & Playbook
DIP-BUYWeak/overshoot de-rating + elevated bounce probability
Dip-Buy Entry Ref
$13.77
Stop (gap-day low)
$13.62
vs SMA 200
Above
SMA 50
$15.00
SMA 200
$13.67
EMA 10
$14.80
Analysis
GRRR gapped down 11.9% (0.40× average volume). De-Rat Score: 53/100 — moderate de-rating. P(bounce): 60% [HIGH] — expected +4% over 20 trading days. Key signals: Large 12% gap: uncertainty high, bounce odds below base. EPS surprise of -7.7% (miss).
Analyzed by derat-v1+bounce-v1 · Aug 25, 2026
Outcome Tracking
1d Return
+12.2%
5d Return
+2.3%
20d Return
+4.3%
Post-Gap Validation — 5-Day Follow-Through
✅ Reversal (DIP-BUY)
Confidence95%
Days Tracked5/5
Reversal Score72.0
Selloff Score4.0
Recovery
92%
Vol Decay
61%
Further Downside
-0.1%
Max Recovery
+18.8%
Peak Close
Day 2
Day-by-Day Price Action
| Day | Close | High | Low | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | $15.45 | $16.08 | $13.76 | 2.00M |
| Day 2 | $15.66 | $16.36 | $14.91 | 1.22M |
| Day 3 | $14.41 | $15.66 | $14.18 | 1.02M |
| Day 4 | $15.04 | $15.25 | $14.33 | 1.24M |
| Day 5 | $14.09 | $14.75 | $14.00 | 772.1K |
Signal Breakdown
- Recovery91.7% recoveredreversalPrice climbed back 92% of the down-gap — mean-reversion in play
- Volume61% decayreversalVolume dropped 61% from day 1 — panic selling exhausted
- Price TrajectoryPeak close: Day 2reversalHigher lows with recovery into late week — dip-buyers stepping in
- Further Downside0.1%reversalMinimal further downside (0.1%) — selling exhausted
- Fundamental QualityInsufficient dataneutralNo fundamental data to evaluate