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YXT
DIP-BUYYXT.COM Group Holding Limited
Weak/overshoot de-rating + elevated bounce probability
Gap Down
-35.0%
TechnologyEPS Aug 13, 2026
Price Chart
Range
YXT · DailyEMA 12EMA 26EMA 50EMA 200
Gap-Down Information
Prev Close
$5.65
Open
$3.67
Gap %
-35.0%
Close
$3.54
Day High
$3.73
Day Low
$3.45
Volume
244.3K
Vol vs 50d Avg
0.2x
Score Analysis
Model 1: De-Rat Score (HIGH = solid selloff = avoid)
Composite46/ 100
Gap Quality (30%)68
Volume Quality (25%)25
Earnings Quality (25%)50
Technical Context (20%)43
Model 2: Bounce Probability (HIGH = dip-buy)
P(bounce)56%20d horizon
Tier:MEDIUM
Expected 20d Return+2.0%
Trained on 563 gap-downs across 142 tickers (2y backtest). Distance from SMA50 (mean reversion) is the strongest predictor; wide gap-day range = capitulation washout.
- Extended above SMA50 (32%): gap-down = trend breakdown — 43% bounce rate
- Large 35% gap: uncertainty high, bounce odds below base
Verdict & Playbook
DIP-BUYWeak/overshoot de-rating + elevated bounce probability
Dip-Buy Entry Ref
$3.54
Stop (gap-day low)
$3.45
vs SMA 200
—
SMA 50
$4.30
SMA 200
—
EMA 10
$5.48
Analysis
YXT gapped down 35.0% (0.16× average volume). De-Rat Score: 46/100 — moderate de-rating. P(bounce): 56% [MEDIUM] — expected +2% over 20 trading days. Key signals: Extended above SMA50 (32%): gap-down = trend breakdown — 43% bounce rate; Large 35% gap: uncertainty high, bounce odds below base.
Analyzed by derat-v1+bounce-v1 · Aug 14, 2026
Outcome Tracking
1d Return
+0.3%
5d Return
-16.4%
20d Return
—
Post-Gap Validation — 5-Day Follow-Through
🚫 Selloff (AVOID)
Confidence95%
Days Tracked5/5
Reversal Score4.0
Selloff Score56.0
Recovery
0%
Vol Decay
42%
Further Downside
-20.9%
Max Recovery
+9.9%
Peak Close
Day 1
Day-by-Day Price Action
| Day | Close | High | Low | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | $3.55 | $3.89 | $3.44 | 197.1K |
| Day 2 | $3.00 | $3.39 | $3.00 | 173.4K |
| Day 3 | $3.11 | $3.25 | $2.92 | 801.1K |
| Day 4 | $3.07 | $3.24 | $2.92 | 413.2K |
| Day 5 | $2.96 | $3.11 | $2.80 | 114.3K |
Signal Breakdown
- Recovery0.5% recoveredselloffOnly 0% of the down-gap recovered — selloff persists
- Volume42% decayneutralModerate volume decline (42%)
- Price TrajectoryPeak close: Day 1selloffPeak close on day 1 with lower lows — no recovery, distribution continues
- Further Downside20.9%selloffSank another 20.9% from gap close — falling knife
- Fundamental QualityInsufficient dataneutralNo fundamental data to evaluate