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YXT

DIP-BUY

YXT.COM Group Holding Limited

Weak/overshoot de-rating + elevated bounce probability

Gap Down
-35.0%
TechnologyEPS Aug 13, 2026

Price Chart

Range
YXT · DailyEMA 12EMA 26EMA 50EMA 200

Gap-Down Information

Prev Close
$5.65
Open
$3.67
Gap %
-35.0%
Close
$3.54
Day High
$3.73
Day Low
$3.45
Volume
244.3K
Vol vs 50d Avg
0.2x

Score Analysis

Model 1: De-Rat Score (HIGH = solid selloff = avoid)

Composite46/ 100
Gap Quality (30%)68
Volume Quality (25%)25
Earnings Quality (25%)50
Technical Context (20%)43

Model 2: Bounce Probability (HIGH = dip-buy)

P(bounce)56%20d horizon
Tier:MEDIUM
Expected 20d Return+2.0%
Trained on 563 gap-downs across 142 tickers (2y backtest). Distance from SMA50 (mean reversion) is the strongest predictor; wide gap-day range = capitulation washout.
  • Extended above SMA50 (32%): gap-down = trend breakdown — 43% bounce rate
  • Large 35% gap: uncertainty high, bounce odds below base

Verdict & Playbook

DIP-BUYWeak/overshoot de-rating + elevated bounce probability
Dip-Buy Entry Ref
$3.54
Stop (gap-day low)
$3.45
vs SMA 200
SMA 50
$4.30
SMA 200
EMA 10
$5.48

Analysis

YXT gapped down 35.0% (0.16× average volume). De-Rat Score: 46/100 — moderate de-rating. P(bounce): 56% [MEDIUM] — expected +2% over 20 trading days. Key signals: Extended above SMA50 (32%): gap-down = trend breakdown — 43% bounce rate; Large 35% gap: uncertainty high, bounce odds below base.

Analyzed by derat-v1+bounce-v1 · Aug 14, 2026

Outcome Tracking

1d Return
+0.3%
5d Return
-16.4%
20d Return

Post-Gap Validation — 5-Day Follow-Through

🚫 Selloff (AVOID)
Confidence95%
Days Tracked5/5
Reversal Score4.0
Selloff Score56.0
Recovery
0%
Vol Decay
42%
Further Downside
-20.9%
Max Recovery
+9.9%
Peak Close
Day 1

Day-by-Day Price Action

DayCloseHighLowVolume
Day 1$3.55$3.89$3.44197.1K
Day 2$3.00$3.39$3.00173.4K
Day 3$3.11$3.25$2.92801.1K
Day 4$3.07$3.24$2.92413.2K
Day 5$2.96$3.11$2.80114.3K

Signal Breakdown

  • Recovery0.5% recovered
    Only 0% of the down-gap recovered — selloff persists
    selloff
  • Volume42% decay
    Moderate volume decline (42%)
    neutral
  • Price TrajectoryPeak close: Day 1
    Peak close on day 1 with lower lows — no recovery, distribution continues
    selloff
  • Further Downside20.9%
    Sank another 20.9% from gap close — falling knife
    selloff
  • Fundamental QualityInsufficient data
    No fundamental data to evaluate
    neutral