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TSSI

DIP-BUY

TSS, Inc.

Mixed signals — conservative read

Gap Down
-23.5%
TechnologyEPS Aug 13, 2026

Price Chart

Range
TSSI · DailyEMA 12EMA 26EMA 50EMA 200

Gap-Down Information

Prev Close
$11.96
Open
$9.15
Gap %
-23.5%
Close
$9.50
Day High
$9.74
Day Low
$9.12
Volume
923.4K
Vol vs 50d Avg
1.1x

Score Analysis

Model 1: De-Rat Score (HIGH = solid selloff = avoid)

Composite65/ 100
Gap Quality (30%)58
Volume Quality (25%)84
Earnings Quality (25%)50
Technical Context (20%)55

Model 2: Bounce Probability (HIGH = dip-buy)

P(bounce)59%20d horizon
Tier:MEDIUM
Expected 20d Return+2.0%
Trained on 563 gap-downs across 142 tickers (2y backtest). Distance from SMA50 (mean reversion) is the strongest predictor; wide gap-day range = capitulation washout.
  • Volume 1.1× avg: real institutional participation (68-72% bounce)
  • Large 23% gap: uncertainty high, bounce odds below base

Verdict & Playbook

DIP-BUYMixed signals — conservative read
Dip-Buy Entry Ref
$9.50
Stop (gap-day low)
$9.12
vs SMA 200
—
SMA 50
$11.37
SMA 200
—
EMA 10
$10.94

Analysis

TSSI gapped down 23.5% (1.11× average volume). De-Rat Score: 65/100 — moderate de-rating. P(bounce): 59% [MEDIUM] — expected +2% over 20 trading days. Key signals: Volume 1.1× avg: real institutional participation (68-72% bounce); Large 23% gap: uncertainty high, bounce odds below base.

Analyzed by derat-v1+bounce-v1 · Aug 14, 2026

Outcome Tracking

1d Return
-0.2%
5d Return
-7.9%
20d Return
—

Post-Gap Validation — 5-Day Follow-Through

🚫 Selloff (AVOID)
Confidence95%
Days Tracked5/5
Reversal Score4.0
Selloff Score56.0
Recovery
0%
Vol Decay
57%
Further Downside
-10.3%
Max Recovery
+4.3%
Peak Close
Day 1

Day-by-Day Price Action

DayCloseHighLowVolume
Day 1$9.48$9.66$9.201.54M
Day 2$9.44$9.91$9.161.09M
Day 3$9.14$9.48$8.981.07M
Day 4$8.79$9.26$8.671.06M
Day 5$8.75$8.96$8.52668.4K

Signal Breakdown

  • Recovery0.0% recovered
    Only 0% of the down-gap recovered — selloff persists
    selloff
  • Volume57% decay
    Moderate volume decline (57%)
    neutral
  • Price TrajectoryPeak close: Day 1
    Peak close on day 1 with lower lows — no recovery, distribution continues
    selloff
  • Further Downside10.3%
    Sank another 10.3% from gap close — falling knife
    selloff
  • Fundamental QualityInsufficient data
    No fundamental data to evaluate
    neutral