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GLOB

AVOID

Globant S.A.

Mixed signals — conservative read

Gap Down
-6.8%
TechnologyEPS Aug 13, 2026

Price Chart

Range
GLOB · DailyEMA 12EMA 26EMA 50EMA 200

Gap-Down Information

Prev Close
$40.99
Open
$38.21
Gap %
-6.8%
Close
$38.66
Day High
$38.99
Day Low
$35.55
Volume
898.9K
Vol vs 50d Avg
0.5x

Score Analysis

Model 1: De-Rat Score (HIGH = solid selloff = avoid)

Composite32/ 100
Gap Quality (30%)26
Volume Quality (25%)25
Earnings Quality (25%)50
Technical Context (20%)43

Model 2: Bounce Probability (HIGH = dip-buy)

P(bounce)54%20d horizon
Tier:LOW
Expected 20d Return+2.0%
Trained on 563 gap-downs across 142 tickers (2y backtest). Distance from SMA50 (mean reversion) is the strongest predictor; wide gap-day range = capitulation washout.
  • Extended above SMA50 (20%): gap-down = trend breakdown — 43% bounce rate

Verdict & Playbook

AVOIDMixed signals — conservative read
Dip-Buy Entry Ref
$38.66
Stop (gap-day low)
$35.55
vs SMA 200
—
SMA 50
$34.12
SMA 200
—
EMA 10
$38.01

Analysis

GLOB gapped down 6.8% (0.46× average volume). De-Rat Score: 32/100 — weak/overshoot selloff. P(bounce): 54% [LOW] — expected +2% over 20 trading days. Key signals: Extended above SMA50 (20%): gap-down = trend breakdown — 43% bounce rate.

Analyzed by derat-v1+bounce-v1 · Aug 14, 2026

Outcome Tracking

1d Return
-6.2%
5d Return
+2.5%
20d Return
—

Post-Gap Validation — 5-Day Follow-Through

✅ Reversal (DIP-BUY)
Confidence95%
Days Tracked5/5
Reversal Score54.5
Selloff Score0.0
Recovery
42%
Vol Decay
70%
Further Downside
-6.5%
Max Recovery
+6.2%
Peak Close
Day 4

Day-by-Day Price Action

DayCloseHighLowVolume
Day 1$36.26$37.81$36.143.14M
Day 2$37.31$37.36$36.132.38M
Day 3$39.52$40.79$37.612.05M
Day 4$39.63$40.58$38.651.46M
Day 5$39.62$41.06$38.82949.3K

Signal Breakdown

  • Recovery41.6% recovered
    Partial recovery (42%) — ambiguous
    neutral
  • Volume70% decay
    Volume dropped 70% from day 1 — panic selling exhausted
    reversal
  • Price TrajectoryPeak close: Day 4
    Higher lows with recovery into late week — dip-buyers stepping in
    reversal
  • Further Downside6.5%
    Moderate further downside (6.5%)
    neutral
  • Fundamental QualityInsufficient data
    No fundamental data to evaluate
    neutral