Back to Gap-Down Screener

YETI

AVOID

YETI Holdings, Inc.

Below-base bounce probability — further downside likely

Gap Down
-9.5%
Consumer CyclicalEPS Aug 13, 2026

Price Chart

Range
YETI · DailyEMA 12EMA 26EMA 50EMA 200

Gap-Down Information

Prev Close
$50.84
Open
$46.00
Gap %
-9.5%
Close
$45.20
Day High
$47.49
Day Low
$44.00
Volume
873.9K
Vol vs 50d Avg
0.7x

Score Analysis

Model 1: De-Rat Score (HIGH = solid selloff = avoid)

Composite56/ 100
Gap Quality (30%)57
Volume Quality (25%)57
Earnings Quality (25%)50
Technical Context (20%)55

Model 2: Bounce Probability (HIGH = dip-buy)

P(bounce)48%20d horizon
Tier:LOW
Expected 20d Return+0.5%
Trained on 563 gap-downs across 142 tickers (2y backtest). Distance from SMA50 (mean reversion) is the strongest predictor; wide gap-day range = capitulation washout.
  • Volume 0.7× avg: weak participation — worst bounce tier (43.6%)

Verdict & Playbook

AVOIDBelow-base bounce probability — further downside likely
Dip-Buy Entry Ref
$45.20
Stop (gap-day low)
$44.00
vs SMA 200
—
SMA 50
$49.58
SMA 200
—
EMA 10
$50.29

Analysis

YETI gapped down 9.5% (0.71× average volume). De-Rat Score: 56/100 — moderate de-rating. P(bounce): 48% [LOW] — expected +0.5% over 20 trading days. Key signals: Volume 0.7× avg: weak participation — worst bounce tier (43.6%).

Analyzed by derat-v1+bounce-v1 · Aug 13, 2026

Outcome Tracking

1d Return
-1.4%
5d Return
-2.7%
20d Return
—

Post-Gap Validation — 5-Day Follow-Through

🚫 Selloff (AVOID)
Confidence94%
Days Tracked5/5
Reversal Score7.0
Selloff Score41.0
Recovery
0%
Vol Decay
47%
Further Downside
-5.4%
Max Recovery
+1.7%
Peak Close
Day 1

Day-by-Day Price Action

DayCloseHighLowVolume
Day 1$44.56$45.97$43.403.48M
Day 2$43.00$44.33$42.962.45M
Day 3$43.24$44.20$42.741.71M
Day 4$44.08$44.27$43.241.57M
Day 5$44.00$44.04$43.021.84M

Signal Breakdown

  • Recovery0.0% recovered
    Only 0% of the down-gap recovered — selloff persists
    selloff
  • Volume47% decay
    Moderate volume decline (47%)
    neutral
  • Price TrajectoryPeak close: Day 1
    Peak close on day 1 with lower lows — no recovery, distribution continues
    selloff
  • Further Downside5.4%
    Moderate further downside (5.4%)
    neutral
  • Fundamental QualityInsufficient data
    No fundamental data to evaluate
    neutral