Back to Gap-Down Screener

BETA

DIP-BUY

BETA Technologies, Inc.

Weak/overshoot de-rating + elevated bounce probability

Gap Down
-9.1%
IndustrialsEPS Aug 12, 2026

Price Chart

Range
BETA · DailyEMA 12EMA 26EMA 50EMA 200

Gap-Down Information

Prev Close
$23.76
Open
$21.60
Gap %
-9.1%
Close
$22.85
Day High
$23.00
Day Low
$20.65
Volume
403.6K
Vol vs 50d Avg
0.3x

Score Analysis

Model 1: De-Rat Score (HIGH = solid selloff = avoid)

Composite35/ 100
Gap Quality (30%)36
Volume Quality (25%)25
Earnings Quality (25%)50
Technical Context (20%)43

Model 2: Bounce Probability (HIGH = dip-buy)

P(bounce)56%20d horizon
Tier:MEDIUM
Expected 20d Return+2.0%
Trained on 563 gap-downs across 142 tickers (2y backtest). Distance from SMA50 (mean reversion) is the strongest predictor; wide gap-day range = capitulation washout.
  • Extended above SMA50 (32%): gap-down = trend breakdown — 43% bounce rate
  • Wide 11% gap-day range: capitulation washout — high bounce odds

Verdict & Playbook

DIP-BUYWeak/overshoot de-rating + elevated bounce probability
Dip-Buy Entry Ref
$22.85
Stop (gap-day low)
$20.65
vs SMA 200
—
SMA 50
$18.06
SMA 200
—
EMA 10
$21.59

Analysis

BETA gapped down 9.1% (0.28× average volume). De-Rat Score: 35/100 — weak/overshoot selloff. P(bounce): 56% [MEDIUM] — expected +2% over 20 trading days. Key signals: Extended above SMA50 (32%): gap-down = trend breakdown — 43% bounce rate; Wide 11% gap-day range: capitulation washout — high bounce odds.

Analyzed by derat-v1+bounce-v1 · Aug 12, 2026

Outcome Tracking

1d Return
+14.8%
5d Return
+15.5%
20d Return
—

Post-Gap Validation — 5-Day Follow-Through

✅ Reversal (DIP-BUY)
Confidence95%
Days Tracked5/5
Reversal Score68.0
Selloff Score0.0
Recovery
100%
Vol Decay
36%
Further Downside
--2.6%
Max Recovery
+20.0%
Peak Close
Day 4

Day-by-Day Price Action

DayCloseHighLowVolume
Day 1$26.24$26.39$23.452.45M
Day 2$24.86$25.93$23.813.44M
Day 3$25.60$25.62$24.312.07M
Day 4$26.76$26.93$24.633.02M
Day 5$26.40$27.42$25.821.57M

Signal Breakdown

  • Recovery100.0% recovered
    Price climbed back 100% of the down-gap — mean-reversion in play
    reversal
  • Volume36% decay
    Moderate volume decline (36%)
    neutral
  • Price TrajectoryPeak close: Day 4
    Higher lows with recovery into late week — dip-buyers stepping in
    reversal
  • Further Downside-2.6%
    Minimal further downside (-2.6%) — selling exhausted
    reversal
  • Fundamental QualityInsufficient data
    No fundamental data to evaluate
    neutral