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UAMY

DIP-BUY

United States Antimony Corporation

Strong bounce probability (oversold mean-reversion)

Gap Down
-17.3%
Basic MaterialsEPS Aug 11, 2026

Price Chart

Range
UAMY · DailyEMA 12EMA 26EMA 50EMA 200

Gap-Down Information

Prev Close
$6.58
Open
$5.44
Gap %
-17.3%
Close
$5.26
Day High
$5.50
Day Low
$5.22
Volume
4.45M
Vol vs 50d Avg
0.7x

Score Analysis

Model 1: De-Rat Score (HIGH = solid selloff = avoid)

Composite59/ 100
Gap Quality (30%)74
Volume Quality (25%)53
Earnings Quality (25%)50
Technical Context (20%)48

Model 2: Bounce Probability (HIGH = dip-buy)

P(bounce)71%20d horizon
Tier:HIGH
Expected 20d Return+6.0%
Trained on 563 gap-downs across 142 tickers (2y backtest). Distance from SMA50 (mean reversion) is the strongest predictor; wide gap-day range = capitulation washout.
  • Large 17% gap: uncertainty high, bounce odds below base

Verdict & Playbook

DIP-BUYStrong bounce probability (oversold mean-reversion)
Dip-Buy Entry Ref
$5.26
Stop (gap-day low)
$5.22
vs SMA 200
—
SMA 50
$6.66
SMA 200
—
EMA 10
$6.02

Analysis

UAMY gapped down 17.3% (0.66× average volume). De-Rat Score: 59/100 — moderate de-rating. P(bounce): 71% [HIGH] — expected +6% over 20 trading days. Key signals: Large 17% gap: uncertainty high, bounce odds below base.

Analyzed by derat-v1+bounce-v1 · Aug 12, 2026

Outcome Tracking

1d Return
+1.5%
5d Return
+8.9%
20d Return
—

Post-Gap Validation — 5-Day Follow-Through

✅ Reversal (DIP-BUY)
Confidence69%
Days Tracked5/5
Reversal Score34.5
Selloff Score20.0
Recovery
36%
Vol Decay
13%
Further Downside
-7.6%
Max Recovery
+9.9%
Peak Close
Day 5

Day-by-Day Price Action

DayCloseHighLowVolume
Day 1$5.34$5.46$4.8611.05M
Day 2$5.51$5.64$5.306.16M
Day 3$5.62$5.66$5.354.17M
Day 4$5.20$5.51$5.135.61M
Day 5$5.73$5.78$5.459.66M

Signal Breakdown

  • Recovery35.6% recovered
    Partial recovery (36%) — ambiguous
    neutral
  • Volume13% decay
    Volume sustained — only 13% decline suggests continued distribution
    selloff
  • Price TrajectoryPeak close: Day 5
    Higher lows with recovery into late week — dip-buyers stepping in
    reversal
  • Further Downside7.6%
    Moderate further downside (7.6%)
    neutral
  • Fundamental QualityInsufficient data
    No fundamental data to evaluate
    neutral