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EVC

AVOID

Entravision Communications Corporation

Mixed signals — conservative read

Gap Down
-13.6%
Communication ServicesEPS Aug 10, 2026

Price Chart

Range
EVC · DailyEMA 12EMA 26EMA 50EMA 200

Gap-Down Information

Prev Close
$11.70
Open
$10.11
Gap %
-13.6%
Close
$9.02
Day High
$10.60
Day Low
$8.60
Volume
6.40M
Vol vs 50d Avg
3.3x

Score Analysis

Model 1: De-Rat Score (HIGH = solid selloff = avoid)

Composite53/ 100
Gap Quality (30%)65
Volume Quality (25%)37
Earnings Quality (25%)50
Technical Context (20%)55

Model 2: Bounce Probability (HIGH = dip-buy)

P(bounce)50%20d horizon
Tier:LOW
Expected 20d Return+2.0%
Trained on 563 gap-downs across 142 tickers (2y backtest). Distance from SMA50 (mean reversion) is the strongest predictor; wide gap-day range = capitulation washout.
  • Wide 20% gap-day range: capitulation washout — high bounce odds
  • Volume 3.3× avg: capitulation/exhaustion
  • Large 14% gap: uncertainty high, bounce odds below base

Verdict & Playbook

AVOIDMixed signals — conservative read
Dip-Buy Entry Ref
$9.02
Stop (gap-day low)
$8.60
vs SMA 200
—
SMA 50
$10.79
SMA 200
—
EMA 10
$11.02

Analysis

EVC gapped down 13.6% (3.27× average volume). De-Rat Score: 53/100 — moderate de-rating. P(bounce): 50% [LOW] — expected +2% over 20 trading days. Key signals: Wide 20% gap-day range: capitulation washout — high bounce odds; Volume 3.3× avg: capitulation/exhaustion; Large 14% gap: uncertainty high, bounce odds below base.

Analyzed by derat-v1+bounce-v1 · Aug 11, 2026

Outcome Tracking

1d Return
+0.0%
5d Return
-6.7%
20d Return
—

Post-Gap Validation — 5-Day Follow-Through

🚫 Selloff (AVOID)
Confidence94%
Days Tracked5/5
Reversal Score7.0
Selloff Score41.0
Recovery
0%
Vol Decay
49%
Further Downside
-7.1%
Max Recovery
+4.5%
Peak Close
Day 1

Day-by-Day Price Action

DayCloseHighLowVolume
Day 1$9.02$9.43$8.662.65M
Day 2$8.88$9.43$8.851.93M
Day 3$9.01$9.15$8.881.11M
Day 4$8.89$9.01$8.521.49M
Day 5$8.42$8.92$8.381.34M

Signal Breakdown

  • Recovery0.0% recovered
    Only 0% of the down-gap recovered — selloff persists
    selloff
  • Volume49% decay
    Moderate volume decline (49%)
    neutral
  • Price TrajectoryPeak close: Day 1
    Peak close on day 1 with lower lows — no recovery, distribution continues
    selloff
  • Further Downside7.1%
    Moderate further downside (7.1%)
    neutral
  • Fundamental QualityInsufficient data
    No fundamental data to evaluate
    neutral