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MRAM

resolved

Everspin Technologies, Inc.

Gap
+17.5%
TechnologyEPS Aug 3, 2026

Price Chart

Range
MRAM · DailyEMA 12EMA 26EMA 50EMA 200

Gap Information

Current
Prev Close
$15.45
Open
$18.15
Gap %
+17.5%
Close
$17.42
Day High
$18.30
Day Low
$16.70
Volume
2.36M
Vol vs 50d Avg
1.1x
Highly Significant Volume

Score Analysis

Model 1: Rerate Score

Composite62/ 100
Gap Quality (30%)61
Volume Quality (25%)84
Earnings Quality (25%)50
Technical Context (20%)45

Model 2: Trade Probability

P(win)36%20d horizon
Tier:AVOID
Expected Return+0.0%
Trained on 240 trades across 142 tickers (2y backtest). Volume sweet spot (1-2×) and tight ATR risk are strongest predictors.
Forward P/E
22.00
PEG Ratio
FCF Trend
stable
Buyback
No

AI Thesis

Everspin Technologies' 17.5% post-earnings gap reflects a meaningful repricing event for this small-cap pure-play MRAM semiconductor company. As the only dedicated standalone MRAM manufacturer, Everspin occupies a unique niche — its Spin-Torque MRAM (STT-MRAM) and Toggle MRAM products serve high-reliability applications across industrial IoT, automotive, enterprise storage, and aerospace/defense. A gap of this magnitude likely signals either a material revenue beat driven by design-win ramps, a significant improvement in gross margins from product mix shifts, or raised forward guidance — any of which would challenge the market's broadly skeptical posture on this micro-cap name. Given the stock was trading near its 10-day EMA ($15.46) before the gap, this represents a sharp reversal from recent bearish sentiment and suggests fresh fundamental conviction rather than speculative momentum. The rerating thesis hinges on Everspin transitioning from a lumpy, project-based revenue model to more recurring, diversified design-win revenue. MRAM adoption is at an inflection point as industrial automation, edge AI, and automotive functional safety applications increasingly demand persistent, fast, high-endurance memory. If this quarter demonstrated operating leverage — fixed costs spreading over a higher revenue base — Wall Street would need to materially revise forward earnings estimates. However, the small float and thin analyst coverage mean any positive surprise can produce outsized moves, and sustainability of the rerating depends entirely on management's guidance commentary and backlog visibility. The stock remains below its 50-day SMA ($21.50), suggesting significant overhead supply and a long road to full technical repair.

Analyzed by rerate-v2+glm-5.2 · Aug 5, 2026

Catalysts

  • STT-MRAM design wins ramping into production at major industrial/automotive OEMs
  • Gross margin expansion from favorable product mix toward higher-margin Toggle/STT-MRAM vs legacy products
  • Raised forward guidance signaling sustained revenue growth and path to consistent profitability
  • Growing MRAM adoption in edge AI and data center persistent memory applications
  • Potential strategic value in MRAM intellectual property as semiconductor consolidation continues
  • Defense/aerospace contract wins providing high-margin, sticky revenue streams

Risks

  • Extremely small market cap with thin liquidity — gap could partially fill on low-volume profit-taking
  • Revenue concentration risk — a handful of customers may drive quarterly results, creating lumpiness
  • Stock remains well below 50-day SMA ($21.50), indicating overhead supply and weak technical structure
  • Competition from incumbent memory technologies (NOR flash, SRAM, FRAM) and emerging resistive RAM
  • Limited analyst coverage means reduced institutional engagement and potential for volatile re-ratings in both directions
  • Capital-intensive R&D requirements for next-gen MRAM nodes could pressure FCF if revenue growth stalls

Technical Setup

Setup Type
Failed Gap
Entry Price
Stop Loss
vs SMA 200
SMA 50
$21.50
SMA 200
EMA 10
$15.46

Forward Returns

1-Day
-13.8%
5-Day
20-Day
60-Day
Max Gain
-5.7%
Max Drawdown
-17.1%

Outcomes calculated Aug 11, 2026

Post-Gap Validation — 5-Day Follow-Through

🚫 Pump & Dump
Confidence79%
Days Tracked3/5
In Progress
Pump & Dump Score44.0
Rerating Score12.0
Gap Fill
90%
Vol Decay
45%
Max Drawdown
-13.6%
Max Gain
+-1.8%
Peak Close
Day 2

Day-by-Day Price Action

DayCloseHighLowVolume
Day 1$15.65$16.61$15.051.83M
📍 Day 2$16.64$16.87$15.551.60M
Day 3$15.93$17.11$15.771.00M
Day 4Pending
Day 5Pending

Signal Breakdown

Gap Fill89.8% erased

Gap 90% filled — price gave back most of the post-earnings gap

25w
Volume Decay45% decline

Moderate volume decline (45%)

4w
Price TrajectoryPeak close: Day 2

Higher highs with peak close on day 2 — continued buying interest

12w
Max Drawdown13.6%

Drew down 13.6% from gap close — significant give-back

15w
Fundamental QualityInsufficient data

No fundamental data to evaluate beat quality

0w

Analysis updated Aug 11, 2026