ACN

resolved

Accenture plc

Gap

+17.8%

TechnologyEPS Oct 1, 2026

Price Chart

Range

ACN · DailyEMA 12EMA 26EMA 50EMA 200

Gap Information

Current

—

Prev Close

$183.37

Open

$215.98

Gap %

+17.8%

$224.04

Day High

$226.50

Day Low

$215.00

Volume

9.14M

Vol vs 50d Avg

1.5x

Highly Significant Volume

Score Analysis

Model 1: Rerate Score

Composite75/ 100

Gap Quality (30%)76

Volume Quality (25%)98

Earnings Quality (25%)52

Technical Context (20%)75

Model 2: Trade Probability

P(win)64%20d horizon

Tier:HIGH

Expected Return+0.9%

Trained on 240 trades across 142 tickers (2y backtest). Volume sweet spot (1-2×) and tight ATR risk are strongest predictors.

Model 3: Tail Probability (Runner)

P(runner)29.6%60d ≥ +20%

Tier:MODERATE

Below anchored VWAP-0.1%

Frozen walk-forward logistic model (OOS AUC 0.64–0.68). Ranks the fat tail — many small losses, a few huge 60-day runners. STRONG tier historically hit ~44% (vs 25% base). A ranking tool, not a certainty.

Forward P/E

—

PEG Ratio

—

FCF Trend

—

Buyback

AI Thesis

ACN gapped up 17.8% (Highly Significant volume at 1.55× average). Rerate Score 2.0: 75/100 (Gap: 76, Volume: 98, Earnings: 52, Technical: 75). Trade Probability: 64% P(win) [HIGH] — expected +0.9% return over 20 trading days. Key signals: Volume 1.5× avg: sweet spot (62.7% historical WR); Wide 4.03% risk: volatile setup; Closed at top of gap candle: reversal risk. The gap quality is exceptional — volatility-adjusted gap size and candle close pattern indicate strong institutional repositioning. Volume is in the sweet spot (1.0-2.0× average) — historically this tier has 62.7% win rate. Modest EPS beat of 2.0% — the gap may be overextending.

Analyzed by rules-v1 · Oct 1, 2026

Catalysts

Gap of 17.8%
200-SMA reclamation (Stage 1→2 reversal)

Risks

Gap may fade if volume doesn't sustain
Sector rotation risk
Large gap increases mean-reversion risk

Technical Setup

Setup Type

Failed Gap

Entry Price

—

Stop Loss

—

vs SMA 200

Above

SMA 50

$179.12

SMA 200

$193.87

EMA 10

$188.78

Stage 1 → 2 Reversal: Gap reclaims SMA 200

Forward Returns

1-Day

-7.9%

5-Day

—

20-Day

—

60-Day

—

Max Gain

-1.2%

Max Drawdown

-10.8%

Outcomes calculated Oct 7, 2026

Post-Gap Validation — 5-Day Follow-Through

🚫 Pump & Dump

Confidence100%

Days Tracked4/5

In Progress

Pump & Dump Score84.0

Rerating Score0.0

Gap Fill

75%

Vol Decay

51%

Max Drawdown

-14.0%

Max Gain

+-4.8%

Peak Close

Day 1

Day-by-Day Price Action

Day	Close	High	Low	Volume
📍 Day 1	$198.90	$213.31	$198.36	10.03M
Day 2	$195.05	$199.74	$193.77	6.99M
Day 3	$193.40	$196.16	$192.58	6.15M
Day 4	$196.64	$198.20	$194.05	4.94M
Day 5	Pending

Signal Breakdown

↓

Gap Fill75.3% erased

Gap 75% filled — price gave back most of the post-earnings gap

25w

—

Volume Decay51% decline

Moderate volume decline (51%)

↓

Price TrajectoryPeak close: Day 1

Lower highs with peak close on day 1 — price action suggests distribution, not accumulation

20w

↓

Max Drawdown14.0%

Drew down 14.0% from gap close — significant give-back

15w

↓

Fundamental QualityGap 17.8% vs EPS beat 2.0%

Gap of 18% with only 2.0% EPS beat — price reaction disproportionate to fundamentals

20w

Analysis updated Oct 7, 2026