VEEV

resolved

Veeva Systems Inc.

Gap

+12.4%

HealthcareEPS Aug 26, 2026

Price Chart

Range

VEEV · DailyEMA 12EMA 26EMA 50EMA 200

Gap Information

Current

—

Prev Close

$244.91

Open

$275.36

Gap %

+12.4%

$291.07

Day High

$292.13

Day Low

$275.39

Volume

850.2K

Vol vs 50d Avg

0.4x

Significant Volume

Score Analysis

Model 1: Rerate Score

Composite58/ 100

Gap Quality (30%)81

Volume Quality (25%)25

Earnings Quality (25%)64

Technical Context (20%)57

Model 2: Trade Probability

P(win)70%20d horizon

Tier:HIGH

Expected Return+1.3%

Trained on 240 trades across 142 tickers (2y backtest). Volume sweet spot (1-2×) and tight ATR risk are strongest predictors.

Model 3: Tail Probability (Runner)

P(runner)23.1%60d ≥ +20%

Tier:WEAK

Below anchored VWAP+0.0%

Frozen walk-forward logistic model (OOS AUC 0.64–0.68). Ranks the fat tail — many small losses, a few huge 60-day runners. STRONG tier historically hit ~44% (vs 25% base). A ranking tool, not a certainty.

Forward P/E

—

PEG Ratio

—

FCF Trend

—

Buyback

AI Thesis

VEEV gapped up 12.4% (Significant volume at 0.44× average). Rerate Score 2.0: 58/100 (Gap: 81, Volume: 25, Earnings: 64, Technical: 57). Trade Probability: 70% P(win) [HIGH] — expected +1.3% return over 20 trading days. Key signals: Volume 0.4× avg: weak conviction (31.8% historical WR); Wide 5.39% risk: volatile setup; Closed at top of gap candle: reversal risk. The gap quality is exceptional — volatility-adjusted gap size and candle close pattern indicate strong institutional repositioning. Volume signal is weak — either too low (no conviction) or extreme (exhaustion). Historical win rate drops to 31-45%. Modest EPS beat of 4.5% — the gap may be overextending.

Analyzed by rules-v1 · Aug 27, 2026

Catalysts

Gap of 12.4%

Risks

Gap may fade if volume doesn't sustain
Sector rotation risk
Large gap increases mean-reversion risk
Volume below average — weak confirmation

Technical Setup

Setup Type

Failed Gap

Entry Price

—

Stop Loss

—

vs SMA 200

Above

SMA 50

$205.36

SMA 200

$199.03

EMA 10

$252.24

Forward Returns

1-Day

+0.5%

5-Day

+3.3%

20-Day

—

60-Day

—

Max Gain

+5.5%

Max Drawdown

-6.2%

Outcomes calculated Sep 11, 2026

Post-Gap Validation — 5-Day Follow-Through

🚫 Pump & Dump

Confidence81%

Days Tracked5/5

Pump & Dump Score34.5

Rerating Score12.0

Gap Fill

31%

Vol Decay

59%

Max Drawdown

-6.0%

Max Gain

+-0.2%

Peak Close

Day 2

Day-by-Day Price Action

Day	Close	High	Low	Volume
Day 1	$276.69	$284.68	$276.45	3.64M
📍 Day 2	$285.69	$290.47	$273.60	2.84M
Day 3	$279.23	$286.79	$278.03	1.22M
Day 4	$280.72	$282.43	$276.05	1.49M
Day 5	$284.38	$288.38	$277.85	1.51M

Signal Breakdown

—

Gap Fill31.2% erased

Gap partially filled (31%) — ambiguous

—

Volume Decay59% decline

Moderate volume decline (59%)

↑

Price TrajectoryPeak close: Day 2

Higher highs with peak close on day 2 — continued buying interest

12w

—

Max Drawdown6.0%

Moderate drawdown (6.0%)

↓

Fundamental QualityGap 12.4% vs EPS beat 4.5%

Gap of 12% with only 4.5% EPS beat — price reaction disproportionate to fundamentals

20w

Analysis updated Sep 11, 2026