CRM

resolved

Salesforce, Inc.

Gap

+11.9%

TechnologyEPS Aug 26, 2026

Price Chart

Range

CRM · DailyEMA 12EMA 26EMA 50EMA 200

Gap Information

Current

—

Prev Close

$205.62

Open

$230.05

Gap %

+11.9%

$243.04

Day High

$244.20

Day Low

$231.00

Volume

10.23M

Vol vs 50d Avg

0.7x

Significant Volume

Score Analysis

Model 1: Rerate Score

Composite69/ 100

Gap Quality (30%)84

Volume Quality (25%)59

Earnings Quality (25%)71

Technical Context (20%)57

Model 2: Trade Probability

P(win)81%20d horizon

Tier:HIGH

Expected Return+1.3%

Trained on 240 trades across 142 tickers (2y backtest). Volume sweet spot (1-2×) and tight ATR risk are strongest predictors.

Model 3: Tail Probability (Runner)

P(runner)22.3%60d ≥ +20%

Tier:WEAK

Below anchored VWAP-0.1%

Frozen walk-forward logistic model (OOS AUC 0.64–0.68). Ranks the fat tail — many small losses, a few huge 60-day runners. STRONG tier historically hit ~44% (vs 25% base). A ranking tool, not a certainty.

Forward P/E

—

PEG Ratio

—

FCF Trend

—

Buyback

AI Thesis

CRM gapped up 11.9% (Significant volume at 0.73× average). Rerate Score 2.0: 69/100 (Gap: 84, Volume: 59, Earnings: 71, Technical: 57). Trade Probability: 81% P(win) [HIGH] — expected +1.3% return over 20 trading days. Key signals: Volume 0.7× avg: weak conviction (31.8% historical WR); Wide 4.95% risk: volatile setup; Closed at top of gap candle: reversal risk. The gap quality is exceptional — volatility-adjusted gap size and candle close pattern indicate strong institutional repositioning. EPS beat of 13.6% provides fundamental support for the reprice.

Analyzed by rules-v1 · Aug 27, 2026

Catalysts

Gap of 11.9%
EPS surprise of 13.6%

Risks

Gap may fade if volume doesn't sustain
Sector rotation risk
Large gap increases mean-reversion risk
Volume below average — weak confirmation

Technical Setup

Setup Type

Pending

Entry Price

—

Stop Loss

$230.05

vs SMA 200

Above

SMA 50

$178.69

SMA 200

$199.48

EMA 10

$210.01

Forward Returns

1-Day

+11.3%

5-Day

+14.9%

20-Day

—

60-Day

—

Max Gain

+16.6%

Max Drawdown

+5.1%

Outcomes calculated Sep 11, 2026

Post-Gap Validation — 5-Day Follow-Through

✅ Genuine Rerating

Confidence95%

Days Tracked5/5

Pump & Dump Score4.0

Rerating Score60.0

Gap Fill

Vol Decay

53%

Max Drawdown

--2.5%

Max Gain

+10.4%

Peak Close

Day 5

Day-by-Day Price Action

Day	Close	High	Low	Volume
Day 1	$256.00	$263.53	$249.00	34.36M
Day 2	$257.54	$262.28	$254.39	22.47M
Day 3	$258.11	$262.32	$254.25	15.90M
Day 4	$256.93	$264.55	$253.60	14.39M
📍 Day 5	$264.43	$268.27	$261.60	16.03M

Signal Breakdown

↑

Gap Fill0.0% erased

Gap held — only 0% erased, price maintained gains

25w

—

Volume Decay53% decline

Moderate volume decline (53%)

↑

Price TrajectoryPeak close: Day 5

Higher highs with peak close on day 5 — continued buying interest

20w

↑

Max Drawdown-2.5%

Minimal drawdown (-2.5%) — price held firm

15w

—

Fundamental QualityInsufficient data

No fundamental data to evaluate beat quality

Analysis updated Sep 11, 2026