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ROST

active

Ross Stores, Inc.

Gap
+6.5%
Consumer CyclicalEPS Aug 20, 2026

Price Chart

Range
ROST · DailyEMA 12EMA 26EMA 50EMA 200

Gap Information

Current
Prev Close
$228.99
Open
$243.85
Gap %
+6.5%
Close
$238.48
Day High
$243.86
Day Low
$236.01
Volume
1.43M
Vol vs 50d Avg
0.5x
Significant Volume

Score Analysis

Model 1: Rerate Score

Composite45/ 100
Gap Quality (30%)33
Volume Quality (25%)41
Earnings Quality (25%)60
Technical Context (20%)48

Model 2: Trade Probability

P(win)68%20d horizon
Tier:HIGH
Expected Return+1.3%
Trained on 240 trades across 142 tickers (2y backtest). Volume sweet spot (1-2×) and tight ATR risk are strongest predictors.
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
FCF Trend
Buyback
No

AI Thesis

ROST gapped up 6.5% (Significant volume at 0.51× average). Rerate Score 2.0: 45/100 (Gap: 33, Volume: 41, Earnings: 60, Technical: 48). Trade Probability: 68% P(win) [HIGH] — expected +1.3% return over 20 trading days. Key signals: Volume 0.5× avg: weak conviction (31.8% historical WR). The gap quality is modest — institutional conviction is uncertain.

Analyzed by rules-v1 · Aug 21, 2026

Catalysts

  • Gap of 6.5%

Risks

  • Gap may fade if volume doesn't sustain
  • Sector rotation risk
  • Volume below average — weak confirmation

Technical Setup

Setup Type
Day-1 Play
Entry Price
$239.04
Stop Loss
$234.50
vs SMA 200
SMA 50
$234.46
SMA 200
EMA 10
$239.92

Forward Returns

Forward returns (1d, 5d, 20d, 60d) are tracked after the gap-up resolves. Check back for updated performance metrics.