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YXT

resolved

YXT.COM Group Holding Limited

Gap
+8.3%
TechnologyEPS Aug 19, 2026

Price Chart

Range
YXT · DailyEMA 12EMA 26EMA 50EMA 200

Gap Information

Current
—
Prev Close
$3.00
Open
$3.25
Gap %
+8.3%
Close
$2.98
Day High
$3.25
Day Low
$2.92
Volume
604.9K
Vol vs 50d Avg
0.4x

Score Analysis

Model 1: Rerate Score

Composite42/ 100
Gap Quality (30%)39
Volume Quality (25%)25
Earnings Quality (25%)60
Technical Context (20%)45

Model 2: Trade Probability

P(win)50%20d horizon
Tier:MEDIUM
Expected Return+0.7%
Trained on 240 trades across 142 tickers (2y backtest). Volume sweet spot (1-2×) and tight ATR risk are strongest predictors.

Model 3: Tail Probability (Runner)

P(runner)41%60d ≥ +20%
Tier:STRONG
Below anchored VWAP-0.2%
Frozen walk-forward logistic model (OOS AUC 0.64–0.68). Ranks the fat tail — many small losses, a few huge 60-day runners. STRONG tier historically hit ~44% (vs 25% base). A ranking tool, not a certainty.
Forward P/E
—
PEG Ratio
—
FCF Trend
—
Buyback
No

AI Thesis

YXT gapped up 8.3% (moderate volume at 0.40× average). Rerate Score 2.0: 42/100 (Gap: 39, Volume: 25, Earnings: 60, Technical: 45). Trade Probability: 50% P(win) [MEDIUM] — expected +0.7% return over 20 trading days. Key signals: Volume 0.4× avg: weak conviction (31.8% historical WR); Wide 2.01% risk: volatile setup; Gap candle range 10.2%: high volatility. The gap quality is modest — institutional conviction is uncertain. Volume signal is weak — either too low (no conviction) or extreme (exhaustion). Historical win rate drops to 31-45%.

Analyzed by rules-v1 · Aug 19, 2026

Catalysts

  • Gap of 8.3%

Risks

  • Gap may fade if volume doesn't sustain
  • Sector rotation risk
  • Volume below average — weak confirmation

Technical Setup

Setup Type
Failed Gap
Entry Price
—
Stop Loss
—
vs SMA 200
Below
SMA 50
$4.30
SMA 200
$5.93
EMA 10
$4.43

Forward Returns

1-Day
-5.5%
5-Day
-9.2%
20-Day
—
60-Day
—
Max Gain
-0.3%
Max Drawdown
-23.7%

Outcomes calculated Sep 3, 2026

Post-Gap Validation — 5-Day Follow-Through

🚫 Pump & Dump
Confidence95%
Days Tracked5/5
Pump & Dump Score55.0
Rerating Score0.0
Gap Fill
—
Vol Decay
87%
Max Drawdown
-9.1%
Max Gain
+8.7%
Peak Close
Day 1

Day-by-Day Price Action

DayCloseHighLowVolume
📍 Day 1$3.07$3.24$2.92413.2K
Day 2$2.96$3.11$2.80119.6K
Day 3$2.94$2.94$2.7196.1K
Day 4$2.97$3.01$2.8751.7K
Day 5$2.95$2.95$2.8751.9K

Signal Breakdown

↓
Volume Decay87% decline

Volume dropped 87% from day 1 — no institutional follow-through buying

20w
↓
Price TrajectoryPeak close: Day 1

Lower highs with peak close on day 1 — price action suggests distribution, not accumulation

20w
↓
Max Drawdown9.1%

Drew down 9.1% from gap close — significant give-back

15w
—
Fundamental QualityInsufficient data

No fundamental data to evaluate beat quality

0w

Analysis updated Sep 3, 2026