CART

resolved

Maplebear Inc.

Gap

+11.0%

Consumer CyclicalEPS Aug 6, 2026

Price Chart

Range

CART · DailyEMA 12EMA 26EMA 50EMA 200

Gap Information

Current

—

Prev Close

$45.03

Open

$50.00

Gap %

+11.0%

$50.17

Day High

$51.06

Day Low

$46.35

Volume

14.31M

Vol vs 50d Avg

3.4x

Highly Significant Volume

Score Analysis

Model 1: Rerate Score

Composite53/ 100

Gap Quality (30%)64

Volume Quality (25%)36

Earnings Quality (25%)50

Technical Context (20%)55

Model 2: Trade Probability

P(win)43%20d horizon

Tier:LOW

Expected Return+0.0%

Trained on 240 trades across 142 tickers (2y backtest). Volume sweet spot (1-2×) and tight ATR risk are strongest predictors.

Forward P/E

—

PEG Ratio

—

FCF Trend

—

Buyback

AI Thesis

CART gapped up 11.0% (Highly Significant volume at 3.37× average). Rerate Score 2.0: 53/100 (Gap: 64, Volume: 36, Earnings: 50, Technical: 55). Trade Probability: 43% P(win) [LOW] — expected 0% return over 20 trading days. Key signals: Volume 3.4× avg: exhaustion signal (45.1% historical WR); Wide 7.61% risk: volatile setup; Gap candle range 9.4%: high volatility; Closed at top of gap candle: reversal risk. The gap quality is moderate — meaningful but not extraordinary.

Analyzed by rules-v1 · Aug 18, 2026

Catalysts

Gap of 11.0%
High volume confirmation (3.4× avg)

Risks

Gap may fade if volume doesn't sustain
Sector rotation risk
Large gap increases mean-reversion risk

Technical Setup

Setup Type

Consolidation Entry

Entry Price

$50.95

Stop Loss

$46.35

vs SMA 200

—

SMA 50

$44.76

SMA 200

—

EMA 10

$46.07

Forward Returns

1-Day

+1.1%

5-Day

-2.2%

20-Day

—

60-Day

—

Max Gain

+1.9%

Max Drawdown

-5.0%

Outcomes calculated Aug 18, 2026

Post-Gap Validation — 5-Day Follow-Through

🚫 Pump & Dump

Confidence95%

Days Tracked5/5

Pump & Dump Score34.5

Rerating Score0.0

Gap Fill

33%

Vol Decay

41%

Max Drawdown

-5.3%

Max Gain

+1.6%

Peak Close

Day 1

Day-by-Day Price Action

Day	Close	High	Low	Volume
📍 Day 1	$50.56	$50.95	$49.23	5.02M
Day 2	$49.39	$50.00	$47.51	5.90M
Day 3	$48.45	$49.00	$47.90	5.15M
Day 4	$50.08	$50.12	$47.82	3.35M
Day 5	$48.88	$49.96	$48.15	2.95M

Signal Breakdown

—

Gap Fill33.5% erased

Gap partially filled (33%) — ambiguous

—

Volume Decay41% decline

Moderate volume decline (41%)

↓

Price TrajectoryPeak close: Day 1

Lower highs with peak close on day 1 — price action suggests distribution, not accumulation

20w

—

Max Drawdown5.3%

Moderate drawdown (5.3%)

—

Fundamental QualityInsufficient data

No fundamental data to evaluate beat quality

Analysis updated Aug 18, 2026