CAPR

resolved

Capricor Therapeutics, Inc.

Gap

+82.4%

HealthcareEPS Aug 13, 2026

Price Chart

Range

CAPR · DailyEMA 12EMA 26EMA 50EMA 200

Gap Information

Current

—

Prev Close

$4.21

Open

$7.68

Gap %

+82.4%

$7.16

Day High

$7.69

Day Low

$6.55

Volume

29.69M

Vol vs 50d Avg

7.1x

Highly Significant Volume

Score Analysis

Model 1: Rerate Score

Composite45/ 100

Gap Quality (30%)63

Volume Quality (25%)20

Earnings Quality (25%)50

Technical Context (20%)45

Model 2: Trade Probability

P(win)45%20d horizon

Tier:LOW

Expected Return+0.7%

Trained on 240 trades across 142 tickers (2y backtest). Volume sweet spot (1-2×) and tight ATR risk are strongest predictors.

Forward P/E

—

PEG Ratio

—

FCF Trend

—

Buyback

AI Thesis

CAPR gapped up 82.4% (Highly Significant volume at 7.07× average). Rerate Score 2.0: 45/100 (Gap: 63, Volume: 20, Earnings: 50, Technical: 45). Trade Probability: 45% P(win) [LOW] — expected +0.7% return over 20 trading days. Key signals: Volume 7.1× avg: exhaustion signal (45.1% historical WR); Wide 8.52% risk: volatile setup; Gap candle range 14.8%: high volatility. The gap quality is moderate — meaningful but not extraordinary. Volume signal is weak — either too low (no conviction) or extreme (exhaustion). Historical win rate drops to 31-45%.

Analyzed by rules-v1 · Aug 14, 2026

Catalysts

Gap of 82.4%
High volume confirmation (7.1× avg)

Risks

Gap may fade if volume doesn't sustain
Sector rotation risk
Large gap increases mean-reversion risk

Technical Setup

Setup Type

Failed Gap

Entry Price

—

Stop Loss

—

vs SMA 200

—

SMA 50

$18.25

SMA 200

—

EMA 10

$5.54

Forward Returns

1-Day

-3.0%

5-Day

-18.1%

20-Day

—

60-Day

—

Max Gain

+7.9%

Max Drawdown

-21.7%

Outcomes calculated Aug 21, 2026

Post-Gap Validation — 5-Day Follow-Through

🚫 Pump & Dump

Confidence76%

Days Tracked5/5

Pump & Dump Score26.5

Rerating Score12.0

Gap Fill

29%

Vol Decay

58%

Max Drawdown

-16.1%

Max Gain

+15.8%

Peak Close

Day 3

Day-by-Day Price Action

Day	Close	High	Low	Volume
Day 1	$7.45	$7.59	$6.59	19.22M
Day 2	$7.08	$8.29	$6.76	8.54M
📍 Day 3	$7.98	$7.99	$7.14	8.57M
Day 4	$6.84	$7.82	$6.83	8.11M
Day 5	$6.29	$7.08	$6.01	8.11M

Signal Breakdown

—

Gap Fill29.5% erased

Gap partially filled (29%) — ambiguous

—

Volume Decay58% decline

Moderate volume decline (58%)

↑

Price TrajectoryPeak close: Day 3

Higher highs with peak close on day 3 — continued buying interest

12w

↓

Max Drawdown16.1%

Drew down 16.1% from gap close — significant give-back

15w

—

Fundamental QualityInsufficient data

No fundamental data to evaluate beat quality

Analysis updated Aug 21, 2026