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ONDS

resolved

Ondas Inc.

Gap
+5.8%
TechnologyEPS Aug 13, 2026

Price Chart

Range
ONDS · DailyEMA 12EMA 26EMA 50EMA 200

Gap Information

Current
Prev Close
$8.91
Open
$9.43
Gap %
+5.8%
Close
$9.30
Day High
$9.64
Day Low
$9.08
Volume
23.28M
Vol vs 50d Avg
0.3x

Score Analysis

Model 1: Rerate Score

Composite43/ 100
Gap Quality (30%)35
Volume Quality (25%)25
Earnings Quality (25%)60
Technical Context (20%)55

Model 2: Trade Probability

P(win)57%20d horizon
Tier:MEDIUM
Expected Return+0.9%
Trained on 240 trades across 142 tickers (2y backtest). Volume sweet spot (1-2×) and tight ATR risk are strongest predictors.
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
FCF Trend
Buyback
No

AI Thesis

ONDS gapped up 5.8% (moderate volume at 0.28× average). Rerate Score 2.0: 43/100 (Gap: 35, Volume: 25, Earnings: 60, Technical: 55). Trade Probability: 57% P(win) [MEDIUM] — expected +0.9% return over 20 trading days. Key signals: Volume 0.3× avg: weak conviction (31.8% historical WR); Wide 2.37% risk: volatile setup. The gap quality is modest — institutional conviction is uncertain. Volume signal is weak — either too low (no conviction) or extreme (exhaustion). Historical win rate drops to 31-45%.

Analyzed by rules-v1 · Aug 14, 2026

Catalysts

  • Gap of 5.8%

Risks

  • Gap may fade if volume doesn't sustain
  • Sector rotation risk
  • Volume below average — weak confirmation

Technical Setup

Setup Type
Failed Gap
Entry Price
Stop Loss
vs SMA 200
SMA 50
$8.39
SMA 200
EMA 10
$9.00

Forward Returns

1-Day
-4.6%
5-Day
-7.6%
20-Day
60-Day
Max Gain
-1.3%
Max Drawdown
-13.4%

Outcomes calculated Aug 21, 2026

Post-Gap Validation — 5-Day Follow-Through

⚠️ Uncertain
Confidence56%
Days Tracked5/5
Pump & Dump Score40.0
Rerating Score32.0
Gap Fill
100%
Vol Decay
17%
Max Drawdown
-12.2%
Max Gain
+0.1%
Peak Close
Day 2

Day-by-Day Price Action

DayCloseHighLowVolume
Day 1$9.00$9.13$8.5269.74M
📍 Day 2$9.06$9.31$8.5679.49M
Day 3$8.90$9.00$8.6272.04M
Day 4$8.38$8.94$8.1768.55M
Day 5$8.71$8.83$8.3858.18M

Signal Breakdown

Gap Fill100.0% erased

Gap 100% filled — price gave back most of the post-earnings gap

25w
Volume Decay17% decline

Volume sustained — only 17% decline suggests continued accumulation

20w
Price TrajectoryPeak close: Day 2

Higher highs with peak close on day 2 — continued buying interest

12w
Max Drawdown12.2%

Drew down 12.2% from gap close — significant give-back

15w
Fundamental QualityInsufficient data

No fundamental data to evaluate beat quality

0w

Analysis updated Aug 21, 2026