NU

resolved

Nu Holdings Ltd.

Gap

+13.0%

Financial ServicesEPS Aug 13, 2026

Price Chart

Range

NU · DailyEMA 12EMA 26EMA 50EMA 200

Gap Information

Current

—

Prev Close

$13.93

Open

$15.74

Gap %

+13.0%

$15.78

Day High

$16.22

Day Low

$15.57

Volume

44.87M

Vol vs 50d Avg

0.6x

Significant Volume

Score Analysis

Model 1: Rerate Score

Composite53/ 100

Gap Quality (30%)48

Volume Quality (25%)49

Earnings Quality (25%)60

Technical Context (20%)55

Model 2: Trade Probability

P(win)54%20d horizon

Tier:MEDIUM

Expected Return+0.7%

Trained on 240 trades across 142 tickers (2y backtest). Volume sweet spot (1-2×) and tight ATR risk are strongest predictors.

Forward P/E

—

PEG Ratio

—

FCF Trend

—

Buyback

AI Thesis

NU gapped up 13.0% (Significant volume at 0.61× average). Rerate Score 2.0: 53/100 (Gap: 48, Volume: 49, Earnings: 60, Technical: 55). Trade Probability: 54% P(win) [MEDIUM] — expected +0.7% return over 20 trading days. Key signals: Volume 0.6× avg: weak conviction (31.8% historical WR). The gap quality is moderate — meaningful but not extraordinary.

Analyzed by rules-v1 · Aug 14, 2026

Catalysts

Gap of 13.0%

Risks

Gap may fade if volume doesn't sustain
Sector rotation risk
Large gap increases mean-reversion risk
Volume below average — weak confirmation

Technical Setup

Setup Type

Failed Gap

Entry Price

—

Stop Loss

—

vs SMA 200

—

SMA 50

$13.48

SMA 200

—

EMA 10

$14.29

Forward Returns

1-Day

-6.4%

5-Day

-7.4%

20-Day

—

60-Day

—

Max Gain

-2.1%

Max Drawdown

-10.2%

Outcomes calculated Aug 21, 2026

Post-Gap Validation — 5-Day Follow-Through

🚫 Pump & Dump

Confidence83%

Days Tracked5/5

Pump & Dump Score60.0

Rerating Score20.0

Gap Fill

85%

Vol Decay

13%

Max Drawdown

-10.4%

Max Gain

+-2.3%

Peak Close

Day 1

Day-by-Day Price Action

Day	Close	High	Low	Volume
📍 Day 1	$14.74	$15.41	$14.71	75.72M
Day 2	$14.35	$15.04	$14.33	87.67M
Day 3	$14.61	$14.99	$14.24	102.72M
Day 4	$14.21	$14.79	$14.14	80.53M
Day 5	$14.58	$14.82	$14.26	65.74M

Signal Breakdown

↓

Gap Fill84.9% erased

Gap 85% filled — price gave back most of the post-earnings gap

25w

↑

Volume Decay13% decline

Volume sustained — only 13% decline suggests continued accumulation

20w

↓

Price TrajectoryPeak close: Day 1

Lower highs with peak close on day 1 — price action suggests distribution, not accumulation

20w

↓

Max Drawdown10.4%

Drew down 10.4% from gap close — significant give-back

15w

—

Fundamental QualityInsufficient data

No fundamental data to evaluate beat quality

Analysis updated Aug 21, 2026