KTOS
resolvedKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
Price Chart
Gap Information
Score Analysis
Model 1: Rerate Score
Model 2: Trade Probability
AI Thesis
KTOS gapped up 13.5% (Highly Significant volume at 1.86× average). Rerate Score 2.0: 57/100 (Gap: 42, Volume: 86, Earnings: 50, Technical: 48). Trade Probability: 37% P(win) [AVOID] — expected 0% return over 20 trading days. Key signals: Volume 1.9× avg: sweet spot (62.7% historical WR); Gap candle range 13.3%: high volatility. The gap quality is moderate — meaningful but not extraordinary. Volume is in the sweet spot (1.0-2.0× average) — historically this tier has 62.7% win rate.
Analyzed by rules-v1 · Aug 7, 2026
Catalysts
- Gap of 13.5%
Risks
- Gap may fade if volume doesn't sustain
- Sector rotation risk
- Large gap increases mean-reversion risk
Technical Setup
Forward Returns
Outcomes calculated Aug 11, 2026
Post-Gap Validation — 5-Day Follow-Through
Day-by-Day Price Action
| Day | Close | High | Low | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | $57.41 | $59.10 | $54.04 | 5.27M |
| Day 2 | $60.77 | $61.09 | $56.25 | 4.79M |
| 📍 Day 3 | $62.42 | $63.17 | $58.90 | 4.56M |
| Day 4 | Pending | |||
| Day 5 | Pending | |||
Signal Breakdown
Gap held — only 0% erased, price maintained gains
Volume sustained — only 14% decline suggests continued accumulation
Higher highs with peak close on day 3 — continued buying interest
Moderate drawdown (2.3%)
No fundamental data to evaluate beat quality
Analysis updated Aug 11, 2026