MGNI

resolved

Magnite, Inc.

Gap

+11.3%

Communication ServicesEPS Aug 5, 2026

Price Chart

Range

MGNI · DailyEMA 12EMA 26EMA 50EMA 200

Gap Information

Current

—

Prev Close

$20.67

Open

$23.00

Gap %

+11.3%

$24.32

Day High

$25.40

Day Low

$22.60

Volume

10.00M

Vol vs 50d Avg

3.3x

Highly Significant Volume

Score Analysis

Model 1: Rerate Score

Composite49/ 100

Gap Quality (30%)58

Volume Quality (25%)37

Earnings Quality (25%)50

Technical Context (20%)50

Model 2: Trade Probability

P(win)40%20d horizon

Tier:LOW

Expected Return+0.0%

Trained on 240 trades across 142 tickers (2y backtest). Volume sweet spot (1-2×) and tight ATR risk are strongest predictors.

Forward P/E

—

PEG Ratio

—

FCF Trend

—

Buyback

AI Thesis

MGNI gapped up 11.3% (Highly Significant volume at 3.34× average). Rerate Score 2.0: 49/100 (Gap: 58, Volume: 37, Earnings: 50, Technical: 50). Trade Probability: 40% P(win) [LOW] — expected 0% return over 20 trading days. Key signals: Volume 3.3× avg: exhaustion signal (45.1% historical WR); Wide 7.07% risk: volatile setup; Gap candle range 12.2%: high volatility. The gap quality is moderate — meaningful but not extraordinary.

Analyzed by rules-v1 · Aug 7, 2026

Catalysts

Gap of 11.3%
High volume confirmation (3.3× avg)

Risks

Gap may fade if volume doesn't sustain
Sector rotation risk
Large gap increases mean-reversion risk

Technical Setup

Setup Type

Consolidation Entry

Entry Price

$25.45

Stop Loss

$22.60

vs SMA 200

—

SMA 50

$18.27

SMA 200

—

EMA 10

$20.62

Forward Returns

1-Day

+7.5%

5-Day

—

20-Day

—

60-Day

—

Max Gain

+10.7%

Max Drawdown

+4.0%

Outcomes calculated Aug 11, 2026

Post-Gap Validation — 5-Day Follow-Through

✅ Genuine Rerating

Confidence63%

Days Tracked3/5

In Progress

Pump & Dump Score24.0

Rerating Score40.0

Gap Fill

Vol Decay

45%

Max Drawdown

-1.6%

Max Gain

+4.6%

Peak Close

Day 1

Day-by-Day Price Action

Day	Close	High	Low	Volume
📍 Day 1	$24.72	$25.45	$24.56	4.03M
Day 2	$24.21	$24.97	$24.07	3.01M
Day 3	$24.30	$24.71	$23.92	2.22M
Day 4	Pending
Day 5	Pending

Signal Breakdown

↑

Gap Fill3.0% erased

Gap held — only 3% erased, price maintained gains

25w

—

Volume Decay45% decline

Moderate volume decline (45%)

↓

Price TrajectoryPeak close: Day 1

Lower highs with peak close on day 1 — price action suggests distribution, not accumulation

20w

↑

Max Drawdown1.6%

Minimal drawdown (1.6%) — price held firm

15w

—

Fundamental QualityInsufficient data

No fundamental data to evaluate beat quality

Analysis updated Aug 11, 2026